Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

Milwaukee Brewers' William Contreras hits a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants Sunday, May 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
  • The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cardinals are 70-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-66 ATS.

Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 12-9, 3.97 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-4, 3.70 ERA

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +155O 8 -115-110
Brewers +1.5 -190U 8 -105-110

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 44 games (+25.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 47 games (+27.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+18.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 135 games (+17.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 139 games (+14.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 79 of their last 139 games (+10.54 Units / 6% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 70-69 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -3.24% ROI).

  • 70-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • 67-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -4.74% ROI
  • 67-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -4.61% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 73-66 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.49% ROI).

  • 81-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 8.34% ROI
  • 75-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.45 Units / 10.18% ROI
  • 55-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.8 Units / -18.05% ROI

Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Jake Bauers (MIL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sonny Gray (STL) 6.5 +100 6.5 -130
Colin Rea (MIL) 4.5 +100 4.5 -130

Sonny Gray has 79 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 1st — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 (22 GB hits out of 122 GBs) against Sonny Gray with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (921/1,444) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea has not walked a batter in his last 24.1 innings pitched — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 28.0.

Colin Rea has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 29th — Tyler Rogers has the longest active streak at 75.

Colin Rea has not allowed a walk in any of his last four starts — Tyler Holton has the longest active streak at 5.

Colin Rea has not allowed a walk in his last 55 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 6th — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 103.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Cardinals are 37-18 (.673) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 20-13 (.606) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .432.

The Cardinals are just 10-134 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are 35-77 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Brewers are 63-38 (.624) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Brewers are 46-4 (.920) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Cardinals are just 23-38 (-38.9% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.

The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Cardinals are just 5-23 (.179) against the run line (-55.7% ROI) after a win as favorites this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Cardinals are just 63-76 (-23.6% ROI) as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 58%.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 58% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 61% at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 57% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 97 times (8%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Cardinals have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cardinals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 50% of their games at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

The Cardinals have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Brewers have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Brewers pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Brewers pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.