- The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Cubs starting pitcher: Michael Fulmer
- Watch the game on MARQ
The St. Louis Cardinals (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Saturday, July 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 44-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-48 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -115 | -125 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 10 -105 | +105 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 30 games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+18.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+17.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.70 Units / 60% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 away games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 48 away games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 38 games at home (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 50-48 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -0.9% ROI).
- 44-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.45 Units / -19.18% ROI
- 48-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 46-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -6.25% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 49-48 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -1.91% ROI).
- 46-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -6.36% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.72% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -11.01% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 33% (83 SO in 253 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (152/952) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .241 (57-for-237) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (31/213) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Fulmer has allowed a just .277 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 91st Percentile and .526 vs left-handed batters since last season (second worst among qualified RPs)– second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .337 (32-for-95) against Michael Fulmer since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .222 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .318 (49-for-154) against Michael Fulmer since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (53/182) against Michael Fulmer since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
keys to the game – away
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – home
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have 327 extra-base hits out of 797 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,230 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .445 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are batting just .293 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
26% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters have 620 strikeouts in 2,554 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,428 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 8% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
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