- The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on MARQ
The St. Louis Cardinals (-145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 44-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 50-48 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | O 9 +100 | -145 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -120 | +120 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 31 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+19.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+18.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 23 games (+17.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 56% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Jordan Montgomery | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 away games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 69 games (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 49 away games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 50-49 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 44-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.7 Units / -19.97% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.38% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -7.11% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 50-48 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -1.09% ROI).
- 47-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.61% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.84% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of 43% (55 SO in 127 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (30/150) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (25/78) against Jordan Montgomery with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (54/149) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 13 of 567 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 3 of 159 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .594 (92 Total Bases / 155 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .426 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (19/144) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 34-5 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are 27-8 (.771) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 1-45 (.022) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Cardinals are 25-25 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Cubs are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 2-116 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have 330 extra-base hits out of 803 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,249 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .447 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .452 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 38% against the Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Nolan Arenado (Cardinals): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
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