Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

Chicago Cubs' Dansby Swanson waves to the crowd before batting against his former team the Atlanta Braves in the second inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, Sept. 26, 2023, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
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  • The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | CATV | KMOV

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Cardinals are 45-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-50 ATS.

Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 9-5, 3.86 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: David Peterson 4-6, 5.92 ERA

Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -170O 10.5 -102+110
Cubs -1.5 +140U 10.5 -118-135

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Church has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+12.40 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Jose Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+20.40 Units / 204% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+12.75 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 48-34 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 3.73% ROI).

  • 45-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 10.58% ROI
  • 36-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -13.44% ROI
  • 44-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 4.48% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 36-50 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -13.72% ROI).

  • 49-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 47-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 4.84% ROI
  • 39-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -12.66% ROI

Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Crow-Armstrong +250
Jordan Walker +260
JJ Wetherholt +310
Seiya Suzuki +325
Nelson Velazquez +333

Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Busch 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Fermin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Masyn Winn 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Blaze Jordan 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are 20-14 (.588) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cubs (fourth in runs scored).

The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 11-98 (.101) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Cardinals are 32-22 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Cubs are 37-3 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .861.

The Cubs are 31-17 (.646) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Cubs are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .516 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .369 (339 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .351 (971 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .794 (1,702 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .778 (971 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (2,209 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 75% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.