- The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | FDMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-155) on Saturday, July 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 47-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 43-45 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 6-6, 3.71 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Drew Pomeranz 2-1, 0.00 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 11 -118 | +130 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 11 -102 | -155 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thomas Saggese has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.70 Units / 119% ROI)
- Thomas Saggese has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Thomas Saggese has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Thomas Saggese has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Thomas Saggese has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
Cubs Best Bets Today:
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 49-40 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4.62% ROI).
- 47-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 4.72% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -8.69% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 43-45 against the Run Line (-3.33 Units / -3.19% ROI).
- 53-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 8.54% ROI
- 45-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 2.84% ROI
- 38-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -10.94% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -285 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Shaw (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Justin Turner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Pomeranz (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (45/120) against Matthew Liberatore when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 4% of batters this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 75 of Matthew Liberatore’s 166 sliders out of the zone (chase rate of 45%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
46% of Matthew Liberatore’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 90th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
83% of Drew Pomeranz’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Pomeranz has allowed an OPS of just .457 (90 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Pomeranz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.1 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Drew Pomeranz has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (15 Total Bases / 79 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Cardinals are 103-5 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Cardinals are 39-3 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Cardinals are just 11-35 (.239) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are 27-5 (.844) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Cubs are 21-6 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Cubs are 53-35 (.602) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 53-16 (.768) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cardinals are batting .265 at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters slugged just .507 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals are batting just .215 against division opponents this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .477 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .804 (1,755 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .331 (2,493 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .786 (2,493 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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