- The Cardinals (30-22) are -110 favorites vs the Cubs (22-30)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (1-0), 1.066 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Caleb Kilian (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 30-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-23 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -115 | -110 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -105 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 68.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.35 Units / 64% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1H Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1H Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 29-23 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 7.48% ROI).
- 30-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 5.95% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.96% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -9.67% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 29-23 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 3.76% ROI).
- 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -12.56% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.26% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -7.71% ROI
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (52/81) against Andre Pallante this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (3/49) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has walked 1 of 53 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .429 (56 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.
Caleb Kilian: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Cardinals are 16-11 (.593) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Cardinals are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .931.
The Cardinals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .069.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 6-22 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Cubs are just 13-80 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Cubs are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Cubs are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 164 extra-base hits out of 375 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 191 extra-base hits out of 447 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .801 (383 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .350 (383 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 1,509 strikeouts in 5,744 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 259 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .150 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 48 of 461 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Shoulder, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
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