Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2022, 1:55 PM
  • The Cardinals (30-22) are -110 favorites vs the Cubs (22-30)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (1-0), 1.066 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Caleb Kilian (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on Saturday, June 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 30-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-23 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +145O 9 -115-110
Cubs +1.5 -175U 9 -105-110

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 68.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+18.35 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1H Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1H Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 29-23 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 7.48% ROI).

  • 30-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 5.95% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.96% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -9.67% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 29-23 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 3.76% ROI).

  • 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -12.56% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.26% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -7.71% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (52/81) against Andre Pallante this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (3/49) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Andre Pallante has walked 1 of 53 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .429 (56 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.

Caleb Kilian: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Cardinals are 16-11 (.593) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Cardinals are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .931.

The Cardinals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .069.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 6-22 (.214) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

The Cubs are just 13-80 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Cubs are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Cubs are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.

 

Cardinals hitters have 164 extra-base hits out of 375 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have 191 extra-base hits out of 447 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .801 (383 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .350 (383 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Cubs hitters have 1,509 strikeouts in 5,744 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cubs are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 259 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .150 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 48 of 461 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Shoulder, D10
  • Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.