- The Cardinals (31-23) are -130 favorites vs the Cubs (23-31)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (5-4), 2.74 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (1-5), 5.40 ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 31-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 30-24 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -115 | -130 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -105 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.75 Units / 96% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.90 Units / 82% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+2.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- No trends found
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1H Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1H Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1H Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1H Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 30-24 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 7.84% ROI).
- 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 5.61% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -9.55% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 30-24 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 2.76% ROI).
- 23-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -12.13% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.34% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -7.66% ROI
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (566/827) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has a strikeout rate of 30% (10 SO in 33 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (702/1,026) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (60/404) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of .950 (19 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .435 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .600 (12-for-20) against Justin Steele on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (39/257) against Justin Steele in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Justin Steele has walked 16 of 117 batters (14%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .351 (388 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .801 (388 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cardinals hitters have 164 extra-base hits out of 377 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .467 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 1,526 strikeouts in 5,830 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .372 (45 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .649.
The Cubs are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 178 of 1,898 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 50 of 479 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Shoulder, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Left Calf, Day-to-Day
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
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