- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Cardinals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 13-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 20-16 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -120 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 +100 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+20.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+16.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 15-22 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -21.68% ROI).
- 13-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.7 Units / -36.99% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -4.2% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 20-16 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 10.57% ROI).
- 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -17.88% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 8.71% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has an ERA of 0.46 (19.2 IP) on the road this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.14 — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 23 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — fourth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .463 (31 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — 15th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Jordan Montgomery’s pitches (104/188) with two-strikes this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 12th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (208/430) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (86/165) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (28/43) against Justin Steele in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strike rate of 74% (85/115) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Cardinals are just 12-24 (.333) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 12-22 (.353) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 24-36 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Cubs are just 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cubs are just 10-47 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cubs are just 6-82 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .830 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,195 strikeouts in 5,933 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .321 (5,933 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .208 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .333 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .614 (783 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Cubs are batting .283 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (845 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (322.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Concussion, D7
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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