- The Cardinals (67-51) are -150 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (55-64)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (6-6), 4.17 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-12), 4.37 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 66-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-50 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | O 9 +100 | -150 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -120 | +125 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 42 of his last 80 games (+20.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 55 of his last 83 games (+12.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 52 games at home (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -185 |
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 41 games (+17.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games at home (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-51 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 8.77% ROI).
- 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 68-50 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.59% ROI).
- 54-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.1 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 3.79% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (87/488) against Dakota Hudson this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (87/278) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (274/462) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (504/903) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
28 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
28 of Madison Bumgarner’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
59 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (58/380) against Madison Bumgarner this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 38-8 (.826) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Cardinals are 54-3 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Cardinals are 53-3 (.946) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 97-28 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-19 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Diamondbacks are just 52-116 (.310) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Diamondbacks are just 15-52 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 226 extra-base hits out of 525 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .975 (166 PA’s) on the road this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .992 (181 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
The Cardinals are batting .331 on the road over the last 14 days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .199 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .212 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.5
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 110 double plays in 867 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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