- The Cardinals (68-51) are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (55-65)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (4-5), 3.37 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 2.80 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The St. Louis Cardinals (-130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 66-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-50 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -130 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -115 | +105 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+11.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 43 of his last 81 games (+22.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 56 of his last 84 games (+13.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 54 of his last 81 games (+12.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 47 away games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 42 games (+18.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-51 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 8.77% ROI).
- 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 68-50 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.59% ROI).
- 54-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.1 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 3.79% ROI
José Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 55% (403/728) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (371/602) in two strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — ninth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (1,052/1,687) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed an OPS of .838 (229 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .621 — 0 Percentile.
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (38/181) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 14th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (10-for-79) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 97th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OPS of just .390 (297 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .474 — 84th Percentile.
34% of Merrill Kelly’s strikeouts are looking this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 54-3 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Cardinals are 39-8 (.830) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Cardinals are 40-21 (.656) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 97-28 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-19 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 15-52 (.224) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 229 extra-base hits out of 534 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,292 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Cardinals are batting .351 on the road this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .639 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .199 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .286 (541 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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