- The Cardinals are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Saturday, July 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Cardinals are 51-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 47-51 ATS.
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 9-3, 3.53 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 5-2, 3.66 ERA
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -110 | -120 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -170 | U 8.5 -110 | +100 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Victor Scott II has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+19.00 Units / 271% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+23.00 Units / 230% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 75 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 away games (+6.91 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 54 of their last 98 games (+5.82 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 53-45 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.56% ROI).
- 51-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 2.14% ROI
- 52-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 6.29% ROI
- 41-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -14.97% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 47-51 against the Run Line (-9.56 Units / -7.57% ROI).
- 48-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -10.78% ROI
- 52-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 5.06% ROI
- 42-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.65 Units / -13.71% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 52% (75 SO in 143 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has walked 4% of batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has walked 3% of right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .164 (23-for-140) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of just .529 (156 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .731 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (104/345) against Ryne Nelson since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
69% of Ryne Nelson’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 42-2 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Cardinals are just 12-38 (.240) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Cardinals are 118-3 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are 106-6 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 44-4 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Diamondbacks are just 42-8 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Diamondbacks are just 39-10 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .941 (734 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.066.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .222 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Cardinals are batting just .174 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .270 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .342 (4,934 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are averaging just 3.67 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 3% of left-handed batters they faced over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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