- The Diamondbacks are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kyle Nelson
- Watch the game on ARID
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-140) on Monday, July 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 44-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 56-44 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 10 -115 | +115 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 10 -105 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 44 games (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 70 games (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 99 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+8.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 92 games (+5.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 50-50 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.43% ROI).
- 44-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.9 Units / -20.71% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.36% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -7.03% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 56-44 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 5.85% ROI).
- 54-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 8.09% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -8.39% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.55% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .385 (47-for-122) against Adam Wainwright at home this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (905/1,571) when behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (84-for-232) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .357 (65-for-182) against Ryne Nelson at home this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 33% (73 SO in 224 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of .671 (224 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .503 — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .496 (206 Total Bases / 415 ABs) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .406 — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 27-8 (.771) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cardinals are just 34-5 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .147.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 110-11 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 100-18 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Diamondbacks are just 93-23 (.802) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Diamondbacks are just 28-13 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,254 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 22% of swings this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 781 strikeouts in 3,804 PA’s (20%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,683 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 7.18 (74.0 IP) over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gabriel Moreno (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
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