- The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Watch the game on ARID
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 45-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 57-45 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+16.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+16.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+14.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Jack Flaherty | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 52 away games (+11.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 52 away games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 72 games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 101 games (+10.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+8.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 51-51 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.39% ROI).
- 45-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.5 Units / -20.08% ROI
- 50-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.42% ROI
- 47-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.9% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 57-45 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 5.73% ROI).
- 55-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 7.4% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -8.3% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.54% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty allowed a batting average of just .095 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .346 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)– ninth Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .464 (168 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed a just .095 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .885 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (second worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 59% (603/1,024) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .433 (26-for-60) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — seventh Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (eighth lowest)– 12th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (10th highest among qualified SPs)– 85th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of 49% (135 SO in 276 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .131 (34-for-259) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 90th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 27-8 (.771) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Cardinals are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .147.
The Cardinals are just 34-5 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 111-12 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 100-19 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Diamondbacks are just 28-13 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Diamondbacks are 15-99 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,262 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .262 (5,294 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .487 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/9,722) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 6.85 (92.0 IP) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gabriel Moreno (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
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