- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cardinals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 10-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 12-15 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
Dodgers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Dodgers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Dodgers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 11-16 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -21.35% ROI).
- 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -31.41% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -11.76% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.53% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 12-15 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -8.42% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -17.36% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 17.28% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -24.58% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 58% (83/144) in two strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 52% (93/178) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of just .107 (3 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (40/114) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 59% of the time (239/406) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has a strike rate of 70% (324/462) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .207 (396 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 7-2 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Cardinals are 30-20 (.600) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Dodgers are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Dodgers are 64-30 (.681) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Dodgers are 112-23 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Dodgers are 100-5 (.952) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .538 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .822 (1,538 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,138 strikeouts in 5,673 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .363 (513 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,292 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Dodgers are batting just .165 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (5,292 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (1554.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (837.1 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
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