Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:08 AM
  • The Dodgers (104-47) are -190 favorites vs the Cardinals (89-63)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (8-5), 3.26 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (9-3), 2.38 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The St. Louis Cardinals (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5.

The Cardinals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 88-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 90-60 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5O 7.5 -110+155
Dodgers -1.5U 7.5 -110-190

Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 86 games (+17.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 64 of his last 98 games (+16.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 40 of his last 65 games (+12.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 63 away games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 147 games (+3.68 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 84-67 against the Run Line (+12.65 Units / 6.68% ROI).

  • 88-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.85% ROI
  • 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -6.5% ROI
  • 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -2.24% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 90-60 against the Run Line (+25.1 Units / 13.86% ROI).

  • 103-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 2.96% ROI
  • 64-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -11.32% ROI
  • 75-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 2.7% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (87/255) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

68% of Jordan Montgomery’s called strikeouts are low this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% (128/489) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (115/300) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 62% of the time (515/824) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBP of just .180 (261 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (177/306) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Cardinals are 15-4 (.789) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 35-13 (.729) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Cardinals are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Dodgers are 93-17 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 24-88 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Dodgers are 76-4 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

Cardinals hitters have 253 extra-base hits out of 584 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .810 (1,303 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Cardinals hitters have just 893 strikeouts in 4,476 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (1,764 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Cardinals have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.

The Dodgers have allowed 2.94 runs per game (229/78) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Dodgers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.