- The Dodgers (105-47) are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals (89-64)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (11-10), 3.37 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove (0-0), 4.65 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at –1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 89-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 92-60 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 | O 9 +100 | +125 |
| Dodgers | –1.5 | U 9 -120 | -155 |
Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tony Gonsolin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 36 games at home (+10.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 12 away games (+1.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- No trends found
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 85-68 against the Run Line (+12.2 Units / 6.36% ROI).
- 89-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.81% ROI
- 73-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -5.84% ROI
- 75-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -2.91% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 92-60 against the Run Line (+27.35 Units / 14.89% ROI).
- 105-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 3.56% ROI
- 65-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -11.19% ROI
- 76-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.54% ROI
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (96/313) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (737/1,263) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (78/494) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .362 (17-for-47) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — first Percentile.
Michael Grove: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (26 Total Bases / 43 ABs) this month (2 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .401 — third Percentile.
Michael Grove has allowed a slugging percentage of .579 (22 Total Bases / 38 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 10th Percentile.
Michael Grove has a strikeout rate of 38% (6 SO in 16 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (2 games) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Grove has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (76/150) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 91st Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cardinals are 15-4 (.789) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 35-13 (.729) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Dodgers are 24-88 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 122-67 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Dodgers are 45-10 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 253 extra-base hits out of 584 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .804 (2,548 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,636 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .842 (1,251 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 71% at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Dodgers have allowed 2.94 runs per game (229/78) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Frederick Freeman (Dodgers): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Neck, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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