- The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford
- Giants starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cardinals vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 9-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 10-12 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -105 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -115 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.70 Units / 97% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.60 Units / 84% ROI)
Giants vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Giants vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Woodford | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 10-13 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -16.01% ROI).
- 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -29.86% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -12.95% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 2.94% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 10-12 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -13.72% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -23.46% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -8.33% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Woodford has struck out just 14% (23/171) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (62/323) against Jake Woodford since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (89/493) against Jake Woodford since last season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 13% (36 SO in 276 PAs) since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against John Brebbia this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .208 (32-for-154) against John Brebbia with two-strikes since last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — fifth Percentile.
John Brebbia has not allowed a walk in any of his last eight starts — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Left-handed batters are hitting .279 (29-for-104) against John Brebbia since last season — 14th highest among among 103 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 13th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 25-35 (.417) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Cardinals are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Giants are 53-61 (.465) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Giants are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .879.
The Giants are just 6-2 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Giants are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .473 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .820 (1,513 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Cardinals are batting .262 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .865 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 94 strikeouts in 311 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .597 (311 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
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