- The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA+
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cardinals vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 9-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 11-12 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.70 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Giants vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Steven Matz | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 10-14 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -18.9% ROI).
- 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -32.08% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -16.76% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 6.58% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 11-12 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -9.98% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -18.78% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -4.88% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -3.99% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has walked 7 of 40 right-handed batters (17%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Steven Matz has walked 7 of 46 batters (15%) — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Steven Matz has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (50/97) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 47% of Steven Matz’s pitches (30/64) with two-strikes — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 1 of 53 left-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani’s K:BB ratio is 10.5 (21/2) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.0 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 80% (20/25) against Anthony DeSclafani on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani allowed a batting average of .355 versus the heart of the order (third worst)– third Percentile and just .138 versus other batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 84-27 (.757) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Cardinals are 11-66 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Giants are just 6-3 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .878.
The Giants are 53-61 (.465) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are just 13-31 (.295) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 29-40 (.420) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .555 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .938 (163 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Cardinals hitters have 278 extra-base hits out of 646 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 98 strikeouts in 316 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters are slugging .526 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .358.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .809 (572 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 55 of 881 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Elbow, D10
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
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