- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Cardinals vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 8-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 9-11 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 +100 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +130 | U 7.5 -120 | -160 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 65% ROI)
Mariners vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mariners vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Tommy La Stella | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Mariners vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy La Stella | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Mariners vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -23.98% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -29.53% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -18.62% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 8.97% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 9-11 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -9.36% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -17.64% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -8.97% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 40% (30/75) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .396 (36-for-91) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .356 (16-for-45) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .170 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (24 Total Bases / 45 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — second Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .170 (88 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OPS of just .337 (88 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .709 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 57% (12 SO in 21 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (6-for-58) against Luis Castillo on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 25-35 (.417) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Cardinals are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Cardinals are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mariners are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Mariners are 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Mariners are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Mariners are 34-13 (.723) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .556 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .939 (142 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .474 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .811 (2,750 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 11 of 217 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
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