Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

Miami Marlins' Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Sept. 5, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Marlins are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
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The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-135) on April 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Cardinals are 13-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 8-14 ATS.

Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Michael McGreevy 1-1, 2.53 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 1-0, 4.12 ERA

Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+18.70 Units / 234% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+22.00 Units / 244% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.85 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 12-8 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 2.25% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 30.56% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 23.63% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -32.2% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 8-14 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -28.13% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -6.82% ROI
  • 14-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 30.72% ROI
  • 6-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -38.51% ROI

Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Stowers +425
Nolan Gorman +475
Jordan Walker +525
Alec Burleson +575
Agustin Ramirez +675

Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Otto Lopez 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Kyle Stowers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pedro Pages 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Victor Scott II 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Owen Caissie 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Kyle Stowers 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals are 10-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Cardinals are 6-3 (.667) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Cardinals are 10-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Cardinals are 13-8 (.619) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are 6-85 (.066) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Marlins are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Marlins are 15-76 (.165) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Marlins are 11-77 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Cardinals are batting just .169 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 87 total hits (just 20%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters slugged just .489 when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters slugged just .378 in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 5 extra-base hits out of 28 total hits (just 18%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .173 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting .293 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 4.97 (702.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Marlins pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH in the 2025 season (4,237 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.