- The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Marlins TV Channel: CATV | MATV
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-130) on April 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 14-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 9-15 ATS.
Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 2-2, 5.21 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-2, 4.57 ERA
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -130 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.70 Units / 167% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
- Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+11.25 Units / 141% ROI)
- Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 13-9 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.74% ROI).
- 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 27.97% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 12.33% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -21.72% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 9-15 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -25.88% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 19.4% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -27.81% ROI
Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | +475 |
| Kyle Stowers | +475 |
| Jordan Walker | +550 |
| Alec Burleson | +600 |
| JJ Wetherholt | +725 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | 0.5 -295 | 0.5 +210 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Pages | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Connor Norby | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Graham Pauley | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Janson Junk | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Cardinals are 11-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cardinals are 7-4 (.636) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Marlins are 11-78 (.124) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Marlins are 6-86 (.065) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 98 total hits (just 21%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters slugged just .380 against RHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .943 (1,331 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have 149 extra-base hits out of 559 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of .288 (469 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (776.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Marlins have allowed 5.29 runs per game (476/90) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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