Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

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  • The Marlins are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Marlins TV Channel: CATV | MATV

The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-130) on April 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Cardinals are 14-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 9-15 ATS.

Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 2-2, 5.21 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 0-2, 4.57 ERA

Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -190O 8.5 -105+105
Marlins -1.5 +155U 8.5 -115-130

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.70 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+11.25 Units / 141% ROI)
  • Graham Pauley has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 13-9 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.74% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 27.97% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 12.33% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -21.72% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 9-15 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -25.88% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -6.9% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 19.4% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -27.81% ROI

Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Nolan Gorman +475
Kyle Stowers +475
Jordan Walker +550
Alec Burleson +600
JJ Wetherholt +725

Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Otto Lopez 0.5 -295 0.5 +210
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jordan Walker 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Masyn Winn 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pedro Pages 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jakob Marsee 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Connor Norby 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Graham Pauley 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Janson Junk 3.5 -150 3.5 +110

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Cardinals are 11-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Cardinals are 7-4 (.636) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Marlins are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.

The Marlins are 11-78 (.124) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Marlins are 6-86 (.065) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Marlins were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Cardinals hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 98 total hits (just 21%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters had an OPS of just .941 (1,172 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters slugged just .380 against RHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .943 (1,331 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 149 extra-base hits out of 559 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .288 (469 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (776.1 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 5.29 runs per game (476/90) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.