Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 03, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Marlins are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-140) on Monday, July 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cardinals vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 35-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 41-44 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -175O 8 -110+115
Marlins -1.5 +145U 8 -110-140

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+13.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+14.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+14.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+13.20 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +1100 0.5
Jorge Soler 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Tommy Edman 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Jonathan Davis 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Jorge Soler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Edman 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nick Fortes 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Jorge Soler 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Tommy Edman 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braxton Garrett 5.5 -120 5.5 -105
Miles Mikolas 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 41 away games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 39 away games (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 52 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 37-46 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -12.42% ROI).

  • 35-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.6 Units / -24.5% ROI
  • 39-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -6.57% ROI
  • 41-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.92% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 41-44 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -10.38% ROI).

  • 48-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 10.21% ROI
  • 38-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -12.07% ROI
  • 45-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 3.58% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

keys to the game – away

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

keys to the game – home

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,069 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Cardinals hitters have just 1,479 strikeouts in 7,267 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cardinals are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

Marlins hitters have grounded into 90 double plays in 601 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have 965 strikeouts in 3,676 PA’s (26%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have walked 22 of 464 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Marlins pitchers have walked 3 of 116 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Marlins pitchers have not walked any of the 51 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
  • Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Oblique, D10
  • Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60

Bet now on Cardinals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.