- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Tuesday, July 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Miami.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 35-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 41-45 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+14.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+13.20 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+13.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+12.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Garrett Cooper | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
| Jesus Luzardo | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 away games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+4.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 53% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 53 games (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+7.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-46 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -11.29% ROI).
- 35-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.6 Units / -25.19% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -5.41% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -3.14% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 41-45 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -11.17% ROI).
- 49-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 11.01% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -10.88% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 2.32% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .358 (77-for-215) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has averaged 88.1 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (55/385) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has an average fastball velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 44 opportunities (25%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (5-for-44) against Jesus Luzardo — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .111 (36 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .269 — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of just .266 (46 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .661 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 25-10 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are 5-32 (.135) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Marlins are 11-110 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Marlins are 28-9 (.757) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .561.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .736 (7,272 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .262 (4,921 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Cardinals are batting .290 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins are batting .301 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Marlins hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 24 of 472 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Nardi (Marlins): Triceps, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
Bet now on Cardinals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
