- The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: –
- Marlins starting pitcher: Bryan Hoeing
- Watch the game on BSFL
The St. Louis Cardinals (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on Wednesday, July 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Cardinals vs Marlins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 35-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 42-45 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -115 | +100 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -105 | -120 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+13.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+14.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+11.20 Units / 47% ROI)
Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Hoeing | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Matthew Liberatore | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 41 away games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 43 away games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+2.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+16.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 54 games (+13.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+8.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-47 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -12.4% ROI).
- 35-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.6 Units / -25.87% ROI
- 41-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -4.28% ROI
- 41-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -4.32% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 42-45 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -10.07% ROI).
- 50-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 11.76% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -9.72% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.1% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OBP of .633 (30 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .357 (25-for-70) against Matthew Liberatore over the last 30 days (5 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .246 — fourth Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has struck out just 10% (8/81) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (5 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OBP of .420 (81 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .305 — fourth Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (8/24) against Bryan Hoeing on fastballs away this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 98th Percentile.
Bryan Hoeing has located his fastballs down 47% of the time (168/357) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
50% of Bryan Hoeing’s called strikeouts are inside this season — tied for 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Bryan Hoeing’s pitches (257/593) this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are just 28-5 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are just 25-10 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Cardinals are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are just 11-56 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Marlins are 5-32 (.135) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Marlins are just 82-19 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,133 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,133 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 91 double plays in 623 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 39 of 294 batters (13%) over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Marlins): Hip, D15
- Andrew Nardi (Marlins): Triceps, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D60
- Jonathan Davis (Marlins): Knee, D10
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Shoulder, D15
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Andrew Knizner (Cardinals): Groin, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
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