Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

New York Mets' Juan Soto (22) tosses his bat as he runs the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the third inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Wednesday, June 11, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: CATV | SNY

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on June 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Cardinals are 36-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 27-38 ATS.

Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-4, 3.94 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Austin Warren 1-2, 2.05 ERA

Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 8.5 -120+110
Mets -1.5 +150U 8.5 +100-135

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+8.70 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.50 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.24 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christian Scott has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 43% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 39-24 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 6.67% ROI).

  • 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 18.7% ROI
  • 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -11.48% ROI
  • 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.97% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 27-38 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -12.16% ROI).

  • 29-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.85 Units / -23.87% ROI
  • 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -12.01% ROI
  • 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 2.42% ROI

Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +310
Jordan Walker +375
JJ Wetherholt +450
Jared Young +475
Nelson Velazquez +500

Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jordan Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Juan Soto 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
A.J. Ewing 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jared Young 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals are 14-3 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Cardinals are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Cardinals are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 30-92 (.246) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Mets are just 13-23 (.361) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Mets are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Mets are just 26-34 (.433) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 87 extra-base hits out of 307 total hits (just 28%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 15% of their PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .489 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,269 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .587 (754 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 57 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% in late innings this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (305.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.