- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Mets
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Watch the game on SNY
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Friday, June 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cardinals vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 27-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 25-43 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -120 | -115 |
| Mets | +1.5 -165 | U 9 +100 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 53.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+18.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Miles Mikolas | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 away games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+3.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 29-40 against the Run Line (-15 Units / -17.06% ROI).
- 27-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.2 Units / -30.69% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.9% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 25-43 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -26.92% ROI).
- 32-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -19.43% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -11.68% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 2.47% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (26/159) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .400 (68 Total Bases / 170 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (57/330) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (108/637) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .447 (17-for-38) against Tylor Megill’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed a slugging percentage of .763 (29 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .395 — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 59% (336/570) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (199/364) of opposing batters since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Cardinals are just 18-5 (.783) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Cardinals are just 18-8 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Cardinals are just 95-8 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Mets are just 5-4 (.556) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Mets are just 21-12 (.636) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .784.
The Mets are 113-34 (.769) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,954 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .262 (4,638 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,954 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 156 strikeouts in 769 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have just 538 strikeouts in 2,692 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (8,773 PA’s) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Cardinals have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games at home in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Peter Alonso (Mets): Wrist, D10
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
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