- The Mets are + favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+) on Sunday, June 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Cardinals vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 28-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 26-44 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | + + | O + | + |
| Mets | + + | U + | + |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Mets vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | 3.5 -185 | 3.5 +135 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 away games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 away games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 30-41 against the Run Line (-15 Units / -16.58% ROI).
- 28-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.05 Units / -29.81% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -8.39% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.26% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 26-44 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -26.15% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -19.49% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -14.15% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 5% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco allowed an OPS of 1.539 (106 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (84 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted .500 against Carlos Carrasco (44-for-88) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .649 (61 Total Bases / 94 ABs) on elevated fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .374 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (78 Total Bases / 104 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .957 (22 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .426 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .404 (42-for-104) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of 1.491 (153 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 1.060 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cardinals are 24-7 (.774) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 19-8 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Cardinals are just 19-5 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are just 22-12 (.647) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Mets are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Mets are just 9-12 (.429) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
The Mets are just 5-4 (.556) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .779.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,965 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .447 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,965 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (4,673 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 381 strikeouts in 1,855 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,149 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mets hitters have just 1,225 strikeouts in 6,149 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals have won just 15% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 228 of 3,444 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
Bet now on Cardinals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
