- The Mets are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sidney Thomas, 7.20 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander, 2.84 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Wednesday, March 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Port St Lucie.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Cardinals vs Mets Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cardinals are 8-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 5-7 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -120 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +100 | U 8 +100 | -175 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 77 games (+7.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 159 games (+4.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games at home (+23.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 78 games at home (+23.27 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+9.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 28.76% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.76% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -33.1% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 25.61% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -16.01% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -39.75% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.85 Units / 44.49% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -51.88% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Thomas is making his MLB debut today.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .497 (666 PA’s) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .703 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .186 (116-for-625) against Justin Verlander last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander allowed an OPS of just .694 (91 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (169 Total Bases / 625 ABs) last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 89-3 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mets are 44-11 (.800) when scoring in the first inning last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mets are just 10-28 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Mets are 36-9 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters had an OBP of .336 (4,294 PA’s) against RHP last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mets hitters struck out just 382 times in 1,923 PA’s (20%) against LHP last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets batted .259 last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .333 (6,217 PA’s) last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 250 of 2,866 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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