Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 29, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Cardinals (52-47) are -165 favorites vs the Nationals (34-66)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (7-8), 2.87 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-2), 6.30 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The St. Louis Cardinals (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+140) on Friday, July 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 52-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-57 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 -105O 9 -115-165
Nationals +1.5 -115U 9 -105+140

Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 away games (+12.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+12.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+14.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Josh Bell 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Juan Soto 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Luis Garcia 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Juan Soto 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Nelson Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Juan Soto 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Luis Garcia 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anibal Sanchez 4.5 +110 4.5 -160
Miles Mikolas 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 94 games (+4.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+17.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 53-46 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 2.82% ROI).

  • 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.78% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.38% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-57 against the Run Line (-22.15 Units / -17.91% ROI).

  • 34-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -18.12% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.44% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.76% ROI

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 19% (22 SO in 118 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (30/174) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .211 (50-for-237) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 85th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 1st — tied with Josiah Gray for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Anibal Sanchez has a strike rate of just 58% (106/183) this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — the longest active streak is 5.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (7/28) against Anibal Sanchez — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 94th Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez had a strike rate of just 58% (54/93) — 11th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Cardinals are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Cardinals are 54-3 (.947) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Nationals are just 103-16 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Nationals are just 11-61 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Nationals are just 26-3 (.897) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have just 722 strikeouts in 3,731 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 257 double plays in 1,925 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have scored 1.08 runs per game (107/99) in late innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 96 double plays in 725 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Cardinals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 82% of their games this month (22 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.