Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 30, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (53-47) are -135 favorites vs the Nationals (34-67)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (6-6), 4.09 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-7), 4.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The St. Louis Cardinals (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+110) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Washington.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 53-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-58 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +115O 10 -115-135
Nationals +1.5 -140U 10 -105+110

Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 away games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Josh Bell 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Juan Soto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Luis Garcia 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Josh Bell 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Juan Soto 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Luis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Josh Bell 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Juan Soto 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Luis Garcia 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dakota Hudson 2.5 -160 2.5 +115
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 95 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 54-46 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 3.58% ROI).

  • 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.45% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-58 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -18.67% ROI).

  • 34-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -18.9% ROI
  • 49-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.36% ROI
  • 47-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.79% ROI

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (439/786) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (75/246) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (76/425) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (910/1,554) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erick Fedde has an ERA of 8.17 (25.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — first Percentile.

Erick Fedde has walked 19 of 99 batters (19%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has an average spin rate of 1875.2 RPM on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 2220.6 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (190/889) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Cardinals are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Cardinals are 24-6 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 15-37 (.288) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Nationals are just 11-62 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 34-59 (.366) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals are just 103-16 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 257 double plays in 1,934 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 99 double plays in 696 opportunities (14%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have just 727 strikeouts in 3,767 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Cardinals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Nationals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.