- The Cardinals (53-47) are -135 favorites vs the Nationals (34-67)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (6-6), 4.09 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-7), 4.95 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+110) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Washington.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 53-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-58 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +115 | O 10 -115 | -135 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | U 10 -105 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 away games (+11.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 95 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+16.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 54-46 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 3.58% ROI).
- 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.45% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-58 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -18.67% ROI).
- 34-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -18.9% ROI
- 49-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -2.36% ROI
- 47-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.79% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (439/786) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (75/246) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (76/425) against Dakota Hudson this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (910/1,554) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has an ERA of 8.17 (25.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 19 of 99 batters (19%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has an average spin rate of 1875.2 RPM on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 2220.6 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (190/889) against Erick Fedde this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Cardinals are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Cardinals are 24-6 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 15-37 (.288) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals are just 11-62 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Nationals are just 34-59 (.366) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 103-16 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 257 double plays in 1,934 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 99 double plays in 696 opportunities (14%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Nationals hitters have just 727 strikeouts in 3,767 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Cardinals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Nationals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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