Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 31, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The (67-33) are favorites vs the (67-33)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (3-4), 3.52 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-6), 4.45 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The St. Louis Cardinals () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 53-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-58 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals O
Nationals U

Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 71.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+16.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Josh Bell 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Juan Soto 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Luis Garcia 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Nelson Cruz 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Josh Bell 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Juan Soto 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Luis Garcia 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Nelson Cruz 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Josh Bell 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Juan Soto 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Luis Garcia 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Nelson Cruz 0.5 +110 0.5 -160

Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante 3.5 +110 3.5 -160
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 96 games (+4.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 89 games (+17.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 54-47 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 2.77% ROI).

  • 53-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -1.03% ROI
  • 47-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -7.71% ROI
  • 50-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.35% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 44-58 against the Run Line (-22.3 Units / -17.68% ROI).

  • 35-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -17.64% ROI
  • 50-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.46% ROI
  • 47-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.63% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (20/140) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (67/99) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (152/240) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (112/159) against Andre Pallante’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.600 (24 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when behind in the count this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (34 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .784 (116 Total Bases / 148 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .547 — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (52 Total Bases / 87 ABs) this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — second Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Cardinals are 31-7 (.816) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Cardinals are 42-3 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 16-37 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Nationals are just 11-62 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Nationals are just 9-52 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Nationals are just 102-23 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 257 double plays in 1,939 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have scored first in just 28% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 96 double plays in 739 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 82 of 893 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.