- The – (67-33) are favorites vs the – (67-33)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (3-4), 3.52 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-6), 4.45 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 53-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-58 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 71.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+16.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Josh Bell | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 96 games (+4.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 89 games (+17.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 54-47 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 2.77% ROI).
- 53-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -1.03% ROI
- 47-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -7.71% ROI
- 50-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.35% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 44-58 against the Run Line (-22.3 Units / -17.68% ROI).
- 35-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -17.64% ROI
- 50-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.46% ROI
- 47-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.63% ROI
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (20/140) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (67/99) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (152/240) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (112/159) against Andre Pallante’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.600 (24 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when behind in the count this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (34 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .784 (116 Total Bases / 148 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .547 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (52 Total Bases / 87 ABs) this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Cardinals are 31-7 (.816) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Cardinals are 42-3 (.933) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 16-37 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Nationals are just 11-62 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Nationals are just 9-52 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Nationals are just 102-23 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 257 double plays in 1,939 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 28% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 96 double plays in 739 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 82 of 893 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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