Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Watch the game on MASN

The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Monday, June 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 29-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 40-30 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +105O 10 -115-150
Nationals +1.5 -125U 10 -105+125

Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+19.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+17.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+16.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Joey Meneses 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Dominic Smith 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Tommy Edman 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Joey Meneses 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Dominic Smith 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Tommy Edman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Joey Meneses 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Dominic Smith 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Tommy Edman 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josiah Gray 5.5 +140 5.5 -185
Jack Flaherty 4.5 -135 4.5 +105
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 away games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 away games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 59 games (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 52 games (+3.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 31-41 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -15.2% ROI).

  • 29-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.95 Units / -28.34% ROI
  • 34-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -7.01% ROI
  • 36-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -1.7% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 40-30 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 7.27% ROI).

  • 27-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -9.75% ROI
  • 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 1.83% ROI

Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 59% (800/1,361) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 57% (449/789) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .496 (121 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (134/258) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has allowed a .463 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– 15th Percentile and just .299 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth best among qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 69 of 440 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 58% (1,062/1,835) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 60% (401/667) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 19-5 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Cardinals are just 19-8 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.

The Nationals are just 13-25 (.342) after a home win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.

The Nationals are just 26-129 (.168) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Nationals are just 38-79 (.325) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,969 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,969 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Cardinals are just 22-5 (.815) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Nationals hitters have just 488 strikeouts in 2,630 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have 111 extra-base hits out of 396 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Cardinals have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Nationals have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.