- The Cardinals are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Watch the game on MASN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 30-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 40-31 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -105 | -150 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -115 | +125 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 68.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.50 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+20.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+18.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+16.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Montgomery | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+13.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 45% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 60 games (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 53 games (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 32-41 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -13.91% ROI).
- 30-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.95 Units / -26.86% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -5.66% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.93% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 40-31 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 27-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -8.33% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.51% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .471 (64 Total Bases / 136 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — ninth Percentile.
21 of Jordan Montgomery’s 73 strikeouts (29%) have come on changeups this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 88th Percentile.
42% of Jordan Montgomery’s fastball strikeouts are located inside this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 92nd Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has not allowed a walk in his last 56 PAs against a LHH dating back to October 8th, 2022 — Tyler Alexander has the longest active streak at 101.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has allowed a slugging percentage of just .138 (9 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 44% (39 SO in 88 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 85th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .108 (7-for-65) against MacKenzie Gore’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 26% (51/197) against MacKenzie Gore this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 15th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cardinals are just 20-5 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cardinals are just 20-8 (.714) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 26-129 (.168) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Nationals are just 25-53 (.321) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 28-54 (.341) after a win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,429 strikeouts in 6,989 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Cardinals are batting .252 with two outs since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have drawn 113 walks in 1,770 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,155 strikeouts in 5,821 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 331 strikeouts in 1,770 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cardinals have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
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