- The Cardinals are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Watch the game on MASN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Cardinals vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 31-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 40-32 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +100 | O 9 -120 | -160 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 9 +100 | +135 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 76.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+19.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+16.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 52% ROI)
Nationals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Miles Mikolas | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+12.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 70 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 53% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (+1.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 33-41 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -12.59% ROI).
- 31-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.95 Units / -25.45% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -4.36% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -4.18% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 40-32 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 4.2% ROI).
- 27-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -4.12% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -6.96% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.83% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .261 (46-for-176) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (112/679) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (39/248) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (59/344) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (556/1,092) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams struck out just 9% (13/148) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (18/122) against Trevor Williams with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to May 18th — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 11.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 21-8 (.724) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Cardinals are just 2-30 (.062) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 38-81 (.319) at home since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.
The Nationals are just 25-54 (.316) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Nationals are just 28-54 (.341) after a win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .786 (1,997 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .737 (2,803 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have 117 extra-base hits out of 411 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have just 169 strikeouts in 922 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals are just 2-8 (.200) against the run line (-49.1% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
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