- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Monday, September 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cardinals vs Orioles Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 63-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 87-55 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -135 | O 10 -115 | +140 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 10 -105 | -165 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 72.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+13.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+9.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Orioles vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Orioles vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hudson | 2.5 -125 | 2.5 -105 |
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.98 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 away games (+9.09 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 70 away games (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.29 Units / 59% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 73% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 129 games (+28.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 62 games at home (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+5.06 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 68-75 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -6.75% ROI).
- 63-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.45 Units / -17.66% ROI
- 68-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -4.18% ROI
- 68-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -4.01% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 87-55 against the Run Line (+27.6 Units / 14.96% ROI).
- 90-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +35.1 Units / 19.14% ROI
- 74-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +14 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 55-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.7 Units / -17.06% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has not struck out any hitters in 26 PA’s vs left-handed batters — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has not struck out a hitter in his last 43 PAs against a LHH dating back to August 20th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 58% (916/1,570) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 10% (2 SO in 20 PAs) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,441/2,572) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,441/2,572) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (34 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (161/819) against Dean Kremer in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cardinals are just 3-60 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are just 48-12 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Cardinals are just 50-6 (.893) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles are 78-51 (.605) after a loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Orioles are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 85-18 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cardinals are batting .251 with two outs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Cardinals hitters have 368 extra-base hits out of 905 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 261 walks in 2,740 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 185-116 (.611) against the run line (14.1% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are batting .259 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Orioles are batting .380 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Orioles hitters are slugging .417 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 77 of 1,255 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes over the last 30 days (25 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .186 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 24 of 418 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Jordan Westburg (Orioles): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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