- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Orioles starting pitcher: John Means
- Watch the game on MASN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Cardinals vs Orioles Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 63-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-55 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -115 | O 10.5 +100 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 -105 | U 10.5 -120 | -190 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 77.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+18.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -190 |
Orioles vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -120 |
| John Means | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 away games (+8.91 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.49 Units / 63% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 away games (+8.09 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 71 away games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 away games (+5.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 140 games (+38.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 130 games (+29.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+6.06 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 68-76 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -7.44% ROI).
- 63-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.45 Units / -18.11% ROI
- 69-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 68-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -4.71% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 88-55 against the Run Line (+28.75 Units / 15.49% ROI).
- 91-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +37.3 Units / 20.05% ROI
- 75-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.85 Units / 8.87% ROI
- 56-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.85 Units / -16.92% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has allowed an OPS of 1.097 (202 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .751 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .371 (65-for-175) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed an OBP of .410 (432 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .315 — first Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed an OPS of 1.013 (434 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cardinals are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 10-130 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Orioles are 130-7 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Orioles are 89-40 (.690) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Orioles are 37-15 (.712) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .566.
The Orioles are 34-18 (.654) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have just 1,837 strikeouts in 8,947 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .325 (8,947 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Cardinals are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .327 (11,695 PA’s) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 33-15 (.688) against the run line (26.5% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 186-116 (.612) against the run line (14.1% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 82-46 (.631) against the run line (18.8% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Orioles hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 152 PA’s (14%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles pitchers have walked 184 of 2,723 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 129 times since last season — 3rd most in MLB.
Orioles vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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