- The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Drew Rom
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on MASN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 64-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-56 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +150 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -185 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 72.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+19.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Orioles vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rom | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 away games (+10.08 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 away games (+9.74 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.49 Units / 66% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 away games (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 141 games (+36.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 131 games (+28.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+13.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+4.96 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 69-76 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -6.85% ROI).
- 64-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.85 Units / -17.15% ROI
- 69-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -4.21% ROI
- 69-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -4.05% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 88-56 against the Run Line (+27.7 Units / 14.84% ROI).
- 91-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +35.5 Units / 18.9% ROI
- 75-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.7 Units / 8.07% ROI
- 57-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.85 Units / -16.18% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (26/157) against Drew Rom over the last 30 days (4 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (25-for-75) against Drew Rom over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .251 — fifth Percentile.
Drew Rom has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (44/86) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .355 (22-for-62) against Drew Rom over the last 30 days (4 games) — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .255 — seventh Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .364 (47-for-129) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has not allowed a walk in his last 65 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 11st — Andrew Kittredge has the longest active streak at 119.
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OBP of .272 (342 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cardinals are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 50-6 (.893) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cardinals are just 47-8 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 130-7 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Orioles are 89-40 (.690) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (6,143 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Cardinals are batting .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Cardinals hitters have just 23 strikeouts in 158 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Cardinals are just 28-46 (.368) against the run line (-31.6% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 186-116 (.612) against the run line (14.1% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 82-46 (.631) against the run line (18.8% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Orioles are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) against the run line (42.5% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 32% with two-strikes over the last 30 days (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 30 days (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 184 of 2,732 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Orioles vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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