Cardinals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 8

San Diego Padres' Xander Bogaerts in action during a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Thursday, May 25, 2023, in Washington. The Padres won 8-6.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
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The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on May 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Cardinals are 22-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 20-16 ATS.

Cardinals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Michael McGreevy 2-2, 2.58 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-0, 1.93 ERA

Cardinals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -170O 8 -118+125
Padres -1.5 +140U 8 -102-155

Cardinals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 61% ROI)
  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+13.50 Units / 270% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+10.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 23-13 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 7.95% ROI).

  • 22-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 29.71% ROI
  • 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 3.33% ROI
  • 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -12.59% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 20-16 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 4.58% ROI).

  • 22-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 8.7% ROI
  • 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -11.55% ROI
  • 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 3.8% ROI

Padres vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Manny Machado +425
Jordan Walker +450
Jackson Merrill +450
Nolan Gorman +450
JJ Wetherholt +475

Padres vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Manny Machado 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Burleson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Padres vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pedro Pages 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Victor Scott II 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Cardinals are 12-5 (.706) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The Cardinals are 13-8 (.619) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Cardinals are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Cardinals are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Padres are 15-1 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Padres are 78-7 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Padres are 49-37 (.570) after a loss since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Padres are 14-67 (.173) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .784 (452 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .212 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .172 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging .285 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,369 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.