Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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  • The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: CATV | NSPA

The St. Louis Cardinals (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-220) on August 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 66-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 51-76 ATS.

Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 11-5, 3.25 ERA

Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -125O 8 -110+180
Phillies -1.5 +105U 8 -110-220

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Blaze Jordan has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+9.20 Units / 153% ROI)
  • Jimmy Crooks III has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.65 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 away games (+19.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 away games (+16.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.15 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 70-56 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.25% ROI).

  • 66-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 6.28% ROI
  • 53-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.35 Units / -17.13% ROI
  • 70-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.5 Units / 8.11% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 51-76 against the Run Line (-30.8 Units / -20.53% ROI).

  • 70-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -2.89% ROI
  • 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -9.39% ROI
  • 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.21% ROI

Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +200
Bryce Harper +310
Joshua Baez +325
Jordan Walker +360
Trea Turner +475

Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Bryce Harper 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bryson Stott 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Justin Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blaze Jordan 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Trea Turner 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Bryce Harper 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 12-112 (.097) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 7-24 (.226) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are 17-39 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 13-47 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Games involving the Cardinals went UNDER in 55% of their games (6.9% ROI) after a win this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Cardinals are 37-26 (.587) against the run line (5.1% ROI) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB.

Games involving the Cardinals went UNDER in 64% of their games (25.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (16th in runs scored).

The Cardinals are 42-18 (.700) against the run line (13.2% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 16-29 (.356) against the run line (-22.4% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cardinals (18th in runs scored).

The Phillies are just 51-77 (.398) against the run line (-17.9% ROI) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are just 23-46 (.333) against the run line (-32.9% ROI) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% over the past seven days (8 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers put 41% of their swings in play in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 13 of 125 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.