Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

Philadelphia Phillies' Kyle Schwarber gestures at home plate after scoring on an RBI single by Nick Castellanos in the first inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Saturday, June 21, 2025, in Philadelphia.
(AP Photo/Laurence Kesterson)
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Phillies are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cardinals / Phillies TV Channel: CATV | NSPA

The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-155) on August 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 66-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 51-77 ATS.

Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Quinn Mathews 0-1, 3.00 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 2-8, 6.46 ERA

Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -165O 9 -110+125
Phillies -1.5 +135U 9 -110-155

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Blaze Jordan has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.05 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 50 away games (+16.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+16.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 52% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 71-56 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.33% ROI).

  • 66-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • 54-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.35 Units / -16.3% ROI
  • 70-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.4 Units / 7.28% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 51-77 against the Run Line (-32.05 Units / -21.19% ROI).

  • 71-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -2.34% ROI
  • 58-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -8.61% ROI
  • 64-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.42% ROI

Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +230
Jordan Walker +310
Alec Burleson +333
Bryce Harper +375
JJ Wetherholt +400

Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Walker 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Bohm 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryce Harper 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jordan Walker 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryce Harper 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Masyn Winn 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are just 12-113 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are 13-47 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 16-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 5-52 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Phillies are 18-39 (.316) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .730 (2,525 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .669 (2,411 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.240 (901 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .730 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 119 extra-base hits out of 237 total hits (50%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .473 (2,598 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 115 double plays in 971 opportunities (12%) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,053 balls in play) — best in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.