- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 56-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 53-74 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 9.5 -110 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 -110 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+11.65 Units / 97% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 39 games (+17.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.34 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 away games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+7.54 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.50 Units / 25% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+6.98 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.84 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+2.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 62-66 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -5.24% ROI).
- 56-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.6 Units / -20.07% ROI
- 60-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -5.66% ROI
- 62-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -2.49% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-74 against the Run Line (-29.7 Units / -18.72% ROI).
- 69-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -5.04% ROI
- 52-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 63-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 4.41% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (43/275) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (199/1,202) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (71/438) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (91/569) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (107/183) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .171 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (23/37) against Cristopher Sanchez — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (36/50) against Cristopher Sanchez’s changeup this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-53 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are just 2-60 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 45-5 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 7-51 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 10-111 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Phillies are 26-104 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Phillies are 93-63 (.596) after a win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .745 (8,537 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,733 strikeouts in 8,537 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .737 (3,453 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .236 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.234 (90 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Phillies are batting .262 at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters are slugging .519 over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Phillies hitters have 371 strikeouts in 1,465 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 70 of 1,131 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 268 of 3,988 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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