- The Phillies are -225 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
- Watch the game on FOX
The St. Louis Cardinals (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 56-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-74 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -105 | +180 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -115 | -225 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 76.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 82% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Wainwright has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 40 games (+18.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -110 |
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 away games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.99 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 away games (+6.54 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 59 games (+5.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+5.98 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.84 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 62-67 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -6.22% ROI).
- 56-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.6 Units / -20.55% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -1.76% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-74 against the Run Line (-28.15 Units / -17.63% ROI).
- 70-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 52-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.4 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 64-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 5.09% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 32% (7/22) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson had a first-pitch strike rate of just 32% (7/22) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (154/263) against Dakota Hudson since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has struck out just 14% (50/359) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (169 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,398/5,517) in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (259/626) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (217/497) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-54 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are just 2-61 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are 25-16 (.610) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 20-18 (.526) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Phillies are 7-51 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 17-9 (.654) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Phillies are 26-104 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 358 extra-base hits out of 873 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .778 (2,578 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .263 (5,811 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.320 (86 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .759.
The Phillies are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters have 372 strikeouts in 1,474 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .498 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 70 of 1,139 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 268 of 3,997 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 27th hardest ball in play hit (118.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.5).
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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