Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Cardinals (43-35) are -145 favorites vs the Phillies (40-37)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-5), 2.56 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Bailey Falter (0-2), 4.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The St. Louis Cardinals (-145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+120) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 43-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 38-39 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +105O 9.5 -115-145
Phillies +1.5 -130U 9.5 -105+120

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 63.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Juan Yepez 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Dylan Carlson 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Juan Yepez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Paul Goldschmidt 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Juan Yepez 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -105 0.5 -135

Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
Falter 3.5 +125 3.5 -175
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 55 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 44-34 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 8.28% ROI).

  • 43-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.88% ROI
  • 39-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 35-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -9.08% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-39 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.16% ROI).

  • 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.58% ROI
  • 43-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.85 Units / 9.25% ROI
  • 32-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -18% ROI

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of just .209 (67 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/48) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (139/719) against Miles Mikolas this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (10 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .431 — 86th Percentile.

Bailey Falter: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Cardinals are 50-3 (.943) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Cardinals are 37-12 (.755) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Phillies are just 20-50 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Cardinals hitters have 184 extra-base hits out of 424 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Cardinals hitters have just 482 strikeouts in 2,376 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Cardinals are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .742 (1,483 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Phillies hitters are slugging .423 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters have 232 extra-base hits out of 621 total hits (37%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 71 of 693 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .273 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
  • Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.