- The Cardinals (43-35) are -145 favorites vs the Phillies (40-37)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-5), 2.56 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Bailey Falter (0-2), 4.50 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (-145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+120) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 43-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 38-39 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -115 | -145 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -130 | U 9.5 -105 | +120 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 63.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Dylan Carlson | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +100 |
| Falter | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 73 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 55 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 44-34 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 8.28% ROI).
- 43-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.88% ROI
- 39-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 35-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -9.08% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-39 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.16% ROI).
- 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.58% ROI
- 43-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.85 Units / 9.25% ROI
- 32-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -18% ROI
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of just .209 (67 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (6/48) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (139/719) against Miles Mikolas this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (10 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .431 — 86th Percentile.
Bailey Falter: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Cardinals are 50-3 (.943) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cardinals are 37-12 (.755) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Phillies are just 20-50 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 184 extra-base hits out of 424 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Cardinals hitters have just 482 strikeouts in 2,376 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cardinals are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .742 (1,483 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Phillies hitters are slugging .423 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies hitters have 232 extra-base hits out of 621 total hits (37%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 71 of 693 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .273 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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