Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Phillies (41-37) are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals (43-36)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore (2-1), 4.00 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson (4-3), 4.48 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-PH

The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 43-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-39 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -175O 10 -110+105
Phillies -1.5 +145U 10 -110-130

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 69.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.50 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+6.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.65 Units / 73% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.30 Units / 114% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+9.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Matt Vierling 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Nick Castellanos 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Matt Vierling 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Nick Castellanos 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Rhys Hoskins 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Matt Vierling 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Nick Castellanos 0.5 +110 0.5 -155

Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Gibson 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Matthew Liberatore 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 56 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games (+1.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 44-35 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 7.22% ROI).

  • 43-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.53% ROI
  • 39-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.26% ROI
  • 36-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -7.82% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 39-39 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -1.09% ROI).

  • 41-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -2.35% ROI
  • 43-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 7.85% ROI
  • 33-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.25 Units / -16.61% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Kyle Gibson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (64/124) against Kyle Gibson this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 88th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (193/336) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (28/42) against Kyle Gibson on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of 24% (15 SO in 62 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 91st Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Cardinals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Cardinals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 17-4 (.810) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Phillies are 20-18 (.526) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Cardinals hitters have 187 extra-base hits out of 429 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .464 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have 214 extra-base hits out of 501 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cardinals are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .296 on the road over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

Phillies hitters have chased 31% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 199 of 2,120 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 71 of 701 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Cardinals pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Phillies pitchers have walked 138 of 2,121 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .276 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.