Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 03, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Phillies (41-38) are -160 favorites vs the Cardinals (44-36)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-5), 3.06 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (6-4), 2.88 ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-40 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -155O 8 -115+135
Phillies -1.5 +125U 8 -105-160

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Phillies vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+7.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 games at home (+6.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Bryson Stott 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Darick Hall 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Bryson Stott 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Darick Hall 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Bryson Stott 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Darick Hall 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 +125 0.5 -185

Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Wheeler 6.5 -135 6.5 -105
Adam Wainwright 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 57 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 64 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 45-35 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 8.06% ROI).

  • 44-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 40-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI
  • 36-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -8.92% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 39-40 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.11% ROI).

  • 41-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.51% ROI
  • 44-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 8.9% ROI
  • 33-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -17.62% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (110/636) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (535/939) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (637/939) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (773/1,138) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (475 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 90.4

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,364/3,070) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (501/1,180) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (361 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .078.

The Cardinals are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 24-16 (.600) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .078.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Phillies are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .922.

Cardinals hitters have 187 extra-base hits out of 429 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have 214 extra-base hits out of 501 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (617 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters are slugging .423 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Phillies hitters have drawn 95 walks in 945 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .078.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 201 of 2,129 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 73 of 710 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .275 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
  • Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.