- The Phillies (41-38) are -160 favorites vs the Cardinals (44-36)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-5), 3.06 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (6-4), 2.88 ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-40 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+7.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 games at home (+6.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Darick Hall | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 -105 |
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 57 games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 64 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 45-35 against the Run Line (+8.35 Units / 8.06% ROI).
- 44-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 40-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI
- 36-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -8.92% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 39-40 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.11% ROI).
- 41-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.51% ROI
- 44-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 8.9% ROI
- 33-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -17.62% ROI
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (110/636) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (535/939) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (637/939) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (773/1,138) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (475 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 90.4
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,364/3,070) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (501/1,180) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (361 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .078.
The Cardinals are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 24-16 (.600) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Cardinals are 27-5 (.844) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .078.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Phillies are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .922.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 187 extra-base hits out of 429 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 214 extra-base hits out of 501 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (617 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are just 0-8 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies hitters are slugging .423 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Phillies hitters have drawn 95 walks in 945 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Phillies are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .078.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 201 of 2,129 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 73 of 710 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .275 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Génesis Cabrera (Cardinals): COVID-19, D10
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
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