Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 27

Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski follows through on a single during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Saturday, June 24, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: CATV | SNPT

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on April 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 14-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 17-11 ATS.

Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dustin May 3-2, 6.09 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mason Montgomery 1-0, 3.97 ERA

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Church has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+25.00 Units / 500% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yohel Pozo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+18.40 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Spencer Horwitz has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 away games (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 15-11 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -2.14% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 9.42% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 2.53% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -12.21% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 17-11 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 12.96% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 8.76% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 1.78% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -11.56% ROI

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Oneil Cruz +500
Brandon Lowe +500
Nolan Gorman +700
Jordan Walker +725
Marcell Ozuna +725

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alec Burleson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Pedro Pages 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are just 8-78 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.

The Cardinals are 8-4 (.667) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (seventh in runs scored).

The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

The Pirates are 10-1 (.909) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Pirates are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Pirates are just 1-89 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .484 with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .693 (5,157 PA’s) against RHP since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 30 extra-base hits out of 121 total hits (just 25%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .622 (3,619 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 39% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .597 (2,166 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 16 extra-base hits out of 74 total hits (just 22%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% over the last 14 days — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.