Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski hits a home run off Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Jameson Taillon during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
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  • The Pirates are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: CATV | SNPT

The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-150) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 17-12 ATS.

Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 2-3, 5.71 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 1-2, 4.88 ERA

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -165O 8.5 -118+125
Pirates -1.5 +135U 8.5 -102-150

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Church has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+24.00 Units / 400% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+6.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 16-11 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.36% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 12.59% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -1.14% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -8.55% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 17-12 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 10.05% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 5.08% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -1.72% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -8.02% ROI

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Brandon Lowe +425
Oneil Cruz +475
Marcell Ozuna +550
Jordan Walker +650
Nolan Gorman +650

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Konnor Griffin 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Kyle Leahy 3.5 -145 3.5 +105

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Cardinals are 151-5 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.

The Cardinals are 138-9 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 7-60 (.104) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.

The Pirates are 10-2 (.833) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Pirates are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Cardinals are batting just .216 with two outs since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .941 (1,357 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .482 with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 30 extra-base hits out of 121 total hits (just 25%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting just .223 against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting just .215 on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .622 (3,619 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% over the last 14 days — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.