- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Drew Rom
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 55-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 60-63 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.65 Units / 87% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.59 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+8.79 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 away games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 96 games (+17.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 27 games (+2.34 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 61-64 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -4.45% ROI).
- 55-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.35 Units / -19.74% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -6.41% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.64% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 60-63 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -11.6% ROI).
- 55-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.93% ROI
- 65-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.25 Units / 6.15% ROI
- 52-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -14.13% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (149/291) of opposing batters right-handed hitters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson had a strike rate of just 59% (875/1,491) against right-handed batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters chased just 45 of David Peterson’s 211 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (193/368) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (8/32) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (393/892) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (240/491) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (335/707) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-51 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are just 43-45 (.489) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cardinals are just 54-70 (.435) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 7-138 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Pirates are just 7-15 (.318) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Pirates are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Pirates are just 46-70 (.397) after a win since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals hitters have just 760 strikeouts in 3,644 PA’s (21%) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .326 (8,446 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,804 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .228 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Pirates are batting just .226 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 68 of 1,106 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Cardinals pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 453 of 4,787 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,037 of 11,014 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,643 of 17,154 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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