- The Pirates are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Pirates are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 55-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 61-63 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 10 -110 | +115 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | U 10 -110 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+10.35 Units / 94% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 95% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Johan Oviedo | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.59 Units / 36% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 away games (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 away games (+7.54 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 97 games (+15.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games (+3.34 Units / 11% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 61-65 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -5.05% ROI).
- 55-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.6 Units / -20.35% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -5.64% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -2.38% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 61-63 against the Run Line (-17.8 Units / -10.88% ROI).
- 56-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 66-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 6.84% ROI
- 52-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.05 Units / -14.8% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (74/556) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .384 (81-for-211) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed a slugging percentage of .748 (98 Total Bases / 131 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .458 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed a slugging percentage of .604 (195 Total Bases / 323 ABs) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .425 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (336/611) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 38 of 222 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Justin Verlander had an ERA of 1.75 (175.0 IP)in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.36 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (169 Total Bases / 625 ABs) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 30-22 (.577) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Cardinals are just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are just 41-7 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 16-32 (.333) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 118-168 (.413) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 7-15 (.318) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Pirates are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .292 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .781 (2,546 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .506 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Pirates are batting just .220 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Pirates are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Pirates are batting just .230 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 456 of 4,822 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Henry Davis (Pirates): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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