- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis L. Ortiz
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 55-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 62-63 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cardinals vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+10.35 Units / 94% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.35 Units / 95% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alika Williams | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Zack Thompson | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.34 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 away games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+6.54 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 98 games (+14.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+8.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 29 games (+4.34 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+4.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 61-66 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -6.02% ROI).
- 55-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.6 Units / -20.83% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -6.41% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -1.65% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 62-63 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -9.91% ROI).
- 57-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 2.43% ROI
- 66-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 5.94% ROI
- 53-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -13.95% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 56% (554/996) when behind in the count in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (232/411) of opposing batters right-handed hitters in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 63% (510/814) in two strike counts in 2022 — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 10th Percentile.
Jose Quintana allowed a slugging percentage of just .186 (57 Total Bases / 306 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 91st Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (103/541) against Jose Urquidy in 2022 — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 37% (184/502) against Jose Urquidy in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (157 Total Bases / 338 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a swing rate of 54% (650/1,203) against Jose Urquidy in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 30-22 (.577) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Cardinals are just 2-53 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are 25-16 (.610) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 7-15 (.318) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Pirates are just 16-32 (.333) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 47-70 (.402) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .781 (2,546 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .737 (3,439 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Cardinals are batting .292 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .763 (4,878 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .376 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Pirates are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are batting just .188 on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .656 (3,372 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,043 of 11,088 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,649 of 17,228 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Henry Davis (Pirates): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Lower Abdomen, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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